18
135 forecasters

Who will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Harry Kane
55.1%
Kylian Mbappé
2%
Rodri
1%
Lamine Yamal
39.9%
Top Key Factors
Alleged leak names Yamal as winner
Increases Likelihood for Lamine Yamal
Vote complexity favors consensus candidates
Increases Likelihood
Yamal has World Cup medal in World Cup year
Increases Likelihood for Lamine Yamal
Kane is Polymarket favorite at 62%
Increases Likelihood for Harry Kane