Who will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Post-vote odds moves don't reveal submitted ballots

Increases Uncertainty

Yamal's league title and World Cup season help

Increases Likelihood for Lamine Yamal

Kane's scoring record favors his candidacy

Increases Likelihood for Harry Kane

Mbappé leak rumor gains traction

Increases Likelihood for Kylian Mbappé

Alleged leak names Yamal as winner

Increases Likelihood for Lamine Yamal

Vote complexity favors consensus candidates

Increases Likelihood

Yamal has World Cup medal in World Cup year

Increases Likelihood for Lamine Yamal

Kane is Polymarket favorite at 62%

Increases Likelihood for Harry Kane