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Will Donald Trump be president of the US in 2019?
Donald J. Trump is the President of the US as of May 2017. However his term thus far has been beset by a certain level of chaos on many fronts. As a followup to a standing but closed question on whether Trump will still be President in two years, here we extend the timeline to 2019 and the beginning of the next Presidential election.
In addition to the usual mortal risks that might prevent a president from serving the second year of his term, the likelihood of either resignation or impeachment seem distinctly higher in Trump's case than for some previous Presidents-Elect. Between a major FBI investigation, potential leaks of highly classified information, and other issues, there are major uncertainties as to his long-term viability.
This question will resolve true if Donald J. Trump is the President of the United States on Feb 1, 2019.
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The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available. With tachyons you'll even be able to go back in time and backdate your prediction to maximize your points.
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Use the community stats to get a better sense of the community consensus (or lack thereof) for this question. Sometimes people have wildly different ideas about the likely outcomes, and sometimes people are in close agreement. There are even times when the community seems very certain of uncertainty, like when everyone agrees that event is only 50% likely to happen.
When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.