Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.


This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.


This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

[short fuse] Given that the NYT publishes an article on Scott Alexander, will it include his full name?


A journalist from The New York Times is in the process of writing a story about Slate Star Codex, a popular blog by psychiatrist Scott Alexander. On 23 June 2020, Alexander took his blog offline and posted a note explaining his decision. According to Alexander, the NYT journalist had told him that his real name would be revealed in the article, despite Alexander's requests to remain pseudonymous out of concern for his and his patients' safety.

This question resolves positively if the NYT publishes a story about Slate Star Codex within the next two weeks (before the end of 7 July 2020) and Alexander's real name is included in that story. It resolves negatively if such a story is published but the name is not included. It resolves ambiguously if no story is published.

Make a Prediction


Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.