63 comments
164 forecasters
Will the US ban TikTok by the end of the year?
29%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 29% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Jul 3, 2020 
Closes:Jul 31, 2020 
Resolved:Jan 1, 2021 
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 4, 2020 
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will TikTok still be available in the United States on December 31, 2025?
106 forecasters
If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025?
5% chance
80
Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?
1.9% chance
93

