37 comments
60 forecasters
What will be the minimum credence Metaculites will give Trump's re-election chances in 2020?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 17, 2020
Closes:Sep 1, 2020
Resolved:Nov 3, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 18, 2020
What will Donald Trump's net approval be on November 2, 2026?
-10.7
(-14 - -7.42)
-10.7
(-14 - -7.42)
145 forecasters
Will both Kalshi and Polymarket assign >20% odds to the major-party nomination of an already twice-elected former U.S. president in the following years?
44 forecasters
Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?
1% chance
2.1k