Question

Will there be deadly conflict in the South China Sea in 2020?

Resolved:No
20
22
Total Forecasters91
Community Prediction
3%
(1% - 8%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
89.1
Community Peer Score
10.0
Authors:
PeterWildeford
Opened:Jul 24, 2020
Closes:Oct 31, 2020
Resolves:Jan 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 26, 2020
Geopolitics
2020 Leaderboard