Question

Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters281

Community Prediction

(0.2% - 4%)

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50%

community: 1%

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Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Jul 19, 2017

Closes:

Dec 31, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 21, 2017

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

International Atomic Energy Agency

Pakistan

Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons

France

Partial Nuclear Test Ban Treaty

United States

When it comes to WMDs, Israel’s are very much part of the problem

Canary•Jun 24, 2025

Iran Lawmakers Eye Page From North Korea Nuclear Playbook After US Strikes

Newsweek•Jun 23, 2025

Apply the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty to All Nations Equally. Scott Ritter - Global Research

Global Research•Jun 21, 2025

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50%