Question

What will be the best marathon time completed before 2035, in seconds, according to Guinness World Records?

Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction
7146 s
(7103 s - 7168 s)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<6880 s0.6%
Quartiles
lower 25%7103 s
median7146 s
upper 75%7168 s
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Opened:Aug 10, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 12, 2020