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108 forecasters

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108 forecasters

Computing and Math

Reliable automatic coding of described rules by 2030?

63%chance

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24 comments143 forecasters

AI Competency on Competitive Programming

Current estimate

24 comments242 forecasters

AI Programming Competency before 2030

1 comment7 forecasters

When will users reliably program DNA assembly robots via natural language?

Current estimate

2 comments118 forecasters

AI-authored paper published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?

5 comments17 forecasters

AI reaches human-level in reading charts

Current estimate

0 comments64 forecasters

When will an AI achieve an score of 1.5 or higher in the RE-bench at any time budget between 8h and 32h?

Current estimate

12 comments43 forecasters

90% of US road vehicles sold in 2075 have Level 5 autonomy?

14 comments62 forecasters

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