44 comments
41 forecasters
When will traviswfisher be unseated on the Metaculus leaderboard?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 10, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolved:Nov 3, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 12, 2020
When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?
Aug 2048
(May 2033 - 2121)
Aug 2048
(May 2033 - 2121)
109 forecasters
Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard?
10
(6 - 24)
10
(6 - 24)
44 forecasters
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
Nov 2030
(27 Jul 2026 - Mar 2040)
Nov 2030
(27 Jul 2026 - Mar 2040)
181 forecasters