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Will Trump (try to) fire Mueller?

The U.S. presidential campaign of Donald J. Trump is currently under investigation by Special Counsel Robert S. Mueller III. Mueller was appointed Special Counsel by Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein, in the wake of President Trump's firing of FBI Director James Comey. (Rosenstein's boss, Attorney General James Sesssions, had already recused himself from the investigation.)

President Trump has made clear his displeasure in Mueller's investigation, and in some of the possible directions the investigation may take. Having fired once, will Trump fire again?

This question will resolve as positive iff any of the following events occur by January 1, 2018:

  • Trump successfully fires Mueller
  • Trump announces that he is firing Mueller, even if it turns out that Trump does not have the authority to fire Mueller directly.
  • Trump instructs Rosenstein, Sessions, or one of their successors to fire Mueller - either according to statements by Rosenstein or Sessions, or by credible multiply-sourced reporting.
  • Rosenstein, Sessions or one of their successors resigns, and gives as a reason that Trump requested that Mueller be fired.
  • Trump fires Rosenstein, or Sessions, or one of their successors, with credible reports indicating that unwillingness to fire Mueller was the triggering event.


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