24 comments
41 forecasters
Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?
20%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 20% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
Opened:Aug 16, 2017
Closes:Sep 15, 2017
Resolved:Oct 30, 2017
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 17, 2017
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
28 Oct 2029
(06 Sep 2028 - 22 Nov 2029)
28 Oct 2029
(06 Sep 2028 - 22 Nov 2029)
19 forecasters
Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1% chance
802
Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?
5% chance
128