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Will Paul Manafort be charged with a crime by Halloween?

The ongoing investigation into the potential role of Russia in the 2016 US Presidential Election has continued to heat up, with appointment by deputy Attorney General Rosenstein of former FBI director Robert Mueller.

Paul Manafort was Trump's campaign manager from June to mid-August 2016, and was reportedly present at the June 9 meeting with Russian attorney Natalia Veselnitskaya and several others at Trump Tower.

As of August 2017, news is that Mueller has empaneled a grand jury in Washington DC, and recently searched a home of Manafort.

Will Paul Manafort be charged with any crime by October 31, 2017?

Resolution is positive if credible media report indicates that Manafort has been formally charged prior to Oct. 31.


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Use the community stats to get a better sense of the community consensus (or lack thereof) for this question. Sometimes people have wildly different ideas about the likely outcomes, and sometimes people are in close agreement. There are even times when the community seems very certain of uncertainty, like when everyone agrees that event is only 50% likely to happen.

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