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39
114
forecasters
25
39 comments
114 forecasters
AGI Outcomes
2 more...
In which year will the world's real GDP first exceed 130% of its highest level from any previous year?
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Current estimate
Mar 2059
Mar 2059
(May 2038 - 2130)
Forecast Timeline
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Forecast Timeline
1d
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Comments (39)
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5.05 years
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GDP growth to exceed 30% 15-years post HLAI
50%
chance
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Real world GDP on the year AGI is deployed
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158 trillions $
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GWP Doubles in <4 Years by 2050
40%
chance
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GWP Doubles in 8 Years vs. 2 Years By 2050
66.7%
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