25 comments
91 forecasters
Will Trump drop by at least 5 percentage points in the polls after the first debate?
15%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 15% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Sep 17, 2020
Closes:Sep 28, 2020
Resolved:Oct 14, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 18, 2020
Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?
1% chance
2.1k
What will Donald Trump's net approval be on November 2, 2026?
-10.9
(-14.5 - -7.48)
-10.9
(-14.5 - -7.48)
147 forecasters
Will Donald Trump's 100% tariff on China take effect on November 1, 2025?
0.5% chance
67