35 comments
134 forecasters
Before December 25th, 2020, will cumulative confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the United States exceed 12 million?
80%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 80% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 19, 2020
Closes:Oct 30, 2020
Resolved:Nov 22, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 20, 2020
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
1% chance
97
Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?
22% chance
47
Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?
85% chance
21