Question

2017 Physics Nobel Prize in Physics for Gravitational Waves?

Resolved:Yes

6 comments6

Total Forecasters35

Community Prediction

48%

(44% - 54%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 48%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-22.3

Community Peer Score

16.9

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Sep 28, 2017

Closes:

Oct 3, 2017

Resolves:

Oct 3, 2017

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 28, 2017

Natural Sciences

Space

2017 Leaderboard

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

67%

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

53%

Will Stephen Wolfram, Jonathan Gorard, or Max Piskunov receive the Nobel prize in physics before 2036?

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Sep 28, 2017

Closes:

Oct 3, 2017

Resolves:

Oct 3, 2017

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 28, 2017

Natural Sciences

Space

2017 Leaderboard

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

67%

Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?

53%