18 comments
42 forecasters
When will it cost less than $1000 to calculate the private key of a 2048-bit RSA public key?
Current estimate
Sep 2045
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Dec 3, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2039
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 5, 2020