Question
When will 100M people receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?
Resolved :18 Apr 2021Total Forecasters87
Community Prediction
23 Mar 2021
(05 Mar 2021 - 15 Apr 2021)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 05 Mar 2021 | — |
| median | 23 Mar 2021 | — |
| upper 75% | 15 Apr 2021 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >167235840000% | 0.7% | — |
What was the final result?18 Apr 2021
Community Baseline Score
27.9
Community Peer Score
3.0
Authors:
Opened:Nov 19, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 21, 2020
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Nov 19, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 21, 2020
