Question

Will a signatory to the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons develop a nuclear weapon anyway?

4
5
Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction
46%
(43% - 55%)

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50%
community: 46%
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Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:Dec 1, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2060
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2101
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 3, 2020
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Singapore
Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
Netherlands
Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons
United Nations General Assembly
NATO