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34
comments
135
forecasters
Will China land the next person on the Moon?
52%
chance
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Predict
Top Key Factors
View all (4)
US lunar program setbacks increase China's chances
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
0 vote
China making strides in lunar landing efforts
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
0 vote
US Starship program too ambitious for timeline
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
0 vote
When will China first successfully launch a Long March 10 rocket (need for the moon mission)?
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
0 vote
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Authors:
nagolinc
Opened:
Dec 18, 2020
Closes:
Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:
Dec 19, 2020
Space
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