124 forecasters

Will China land the next person on the Moon?

40%chance

5 pp this week

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 18, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 19, 2020

Economy & Business

Nasa blocks Chinese nationals from working on its space programs

Guardian•Sep 11, 2025

Nasa bars Chinese citizens from its facilities amid heated space race

Independent•Sep 11, 2025

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