124 forecasters

Will China land the next person on the Moon?

40%chance

Top Key Factors

When will China first successfully launch a Long March 10 rocket (need for the moon mission)?

Increases Likelihood

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 18, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 19, 2020