Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
34
comments
135
forecasters
Will China land the next person on the Moon?
51%
chance
Share
Predict
Top Key Factors
View all (4)
US lunar program setbacks increase China's chances
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
0 vote
China making strides in lunar landing efforts
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
0 vote
US Starship program too ambitious for timeline
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
0 vote
When will China first successfully launch a Long March 10 rocket (need for the moon mission)?
Impact
Increases Likelihood
Strength
0 vote
Comments
Timeline
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
Background Info
Histogram
Follow
embed
Authors:
nagolinc
Opened:
Dec 18, 2020
Closes:
Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:
Dec 19, 2020
Space
Similar Questions
When will NASA next land astronauts on the Moon?
13 Sep 2029
(05 Apr 2028 - Aug 2031)
13 Sep 2029
(05 Apr 2028 - Aug 2031)
97
forecasters
When will China first successfully land people on Mars?
Jul 2046
(Mar 2040 - Oct 2055)
Jul 2046
(Mar 2040 - Oct 2055)
34
forecasters
How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?
5.96 spacecraft
(5.09 - 6.59)
5.96 spacecraft
(5.09 - 6.59)
59
forecasters
Show More Questions