32 comments
124 forecasters
Will China land the next person on the Moon?
40%chance
5 pp this week
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 18, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 19, 2020
When will NASA next land astronauts on the Moon?
20 Jun 2029
(28 Nov 2027 - Aug 2031)
20 Jun 2029
(28 Nov 2027 - Aug 2031)
97 forecasters
When will China first successfully land people on Mars?
Jan 2048
(Oct 2041 - Mar 2057)
Jan 2048
(Oct 2041 - Mar 2057)
33 forecasters
How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?
5.92 spacecraft
(4.82 - 7.22)
5.92 spacecraft
(4.82 - 7.22)
74 forecasters