Question
How many ratings will Toby Ord's book The Precipice have on Amazon on January 1st 2022?
Resolved:549Total Forecasters47
Community Prediction
562
(544 - 588)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <235 | 0.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 544.2 | — |
| median | 561.6 | — |
| upper 75% | 588.3 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1000 | 0.3% | — |
What was the final result?549
Community Baseline Score
59.5
Community Peer Score
10.0
Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 1, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 9, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jan 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 1, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 9, 2021