Question

Will the number of living humans who have walked on another world fall to zero?

113

41 comments41

Total Forecasters829

Community Prediction

45%

(29% - 59%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 45%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

aran

Opened:

Jan 9, 2018

Closed:

Dec 31, 2019

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2039

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 9, 2018

Economy & Business

Technology

2018-2019 Leaderboard

What will be the total number of nationalities to have visited the moon by 2030?

2.12

Will there be more than 13 people off of planet Earth on December 31, 2050?

96%

Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?

50%

Authors:

aran

Opened:

Jan 9, 2018

Closed:

Dec 31, 2019

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2039

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 9, 2018

Economy & Business

Technology

2018-2019 Leaderboard

What will be the total number of nationalities to have visited the moon by 2030?

2.12

Will there be more than 13 people off of planet Earth on December 31, 2050?

96%

Will a Metaculus user report from space before 2050?

50%