1 comment
35 forecasters
What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be at 2022-01-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%)?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 14, 2021
Closes:Mar 13, 2021
Resolved:Mar 22, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 16, 2021
What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?
78 forecasters
What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?
60.5%
(51.7 - 71.7)
60.5%
(51.7 - 71.7)
47 forecasters
When will an AI system achieve a score of at least 85% on the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) benchmark?
20 Jan 2026
(22 Aug 2025 - 07 Nov 2026)
20 Jan 2026
(22 Aug 2025 - 07 Nov 2026)
16 forecasters