70 forecasters

Will US poverty be higher in November 2021 than it was in November 2020?

52%chance

52%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 52% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 16, 2021

Closes:

Oct 31, 2021

Resolved:

Dec 23, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 17, 2021

Future Perfect 2021 Series

2021 Leaderboard

2025 Sees Rise in Americans Living Paycheck to Paycheck

Newsweek•Sep 14, 2025

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New York Post•Sep 12, 2025

Trump’s tariffs could push nearly 1 million Americans into poverty, report finds

CNN•Sep 11, 2025

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