13 comments
70 forecasters
Will US poverty be higher in November 2021 than it was in November 2020?
52%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 52% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 16, 2021
Closes:Oct 31, 2021
Resolved:Dec 23, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 17, 2021
Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?
17% chance
1k
Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?
45 forecasters
Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?
35% chance
1.1k