Question

Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?

Resolved:Yes

3 comments3

Total Forecasters49

Community Prediction

70%

(60% - 85%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

54.7

Community Peer Score

4.0

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Feb 5, 2018

Closes:

Mar 4, 2018

Resolves:

Mar 4, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 6, 2018

Health & Pandemics

2018 Leaderboard

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?

37%

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

43%

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Feb 5, 2018

Closes:

Mar 4, 2018

Resolves:

Mar 4, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 6, 2018

Health & Pandemics

2018 Leaderboard

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?

37%

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

43%