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Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?

As reported by the New York Times, this flu season has been especially brutal and is “now on track to equal or surpass that of the 2014-2015 flu season.” which itself saw 34 million sickened and 710,000 hospitalized.

The main culprit this year has been the H3N2 virus—the deadliest of the seasonal strains—but it’s been abetted by a downturn in recent years in the number of people getting their flu shots.

We ask: Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season?

The question resolves positive if:

    According to the influenza surveillance report prepared by the Influenza Division of the CDC, the cumulative rate (per 100,000 population) of influenza hospitalizations over the FluSurv-NET surveillance area exceeds the 2014-2015 season peak of 64.2 for the “overall” age group.

Data available as of 2/1/18 indicate a cumulative rate of 41.9 as of the third week of 2018, and a plot of cumulative rates is available here.


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