108 forecasters

Will AES-256 be publicly broken by 2040?

5%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

Forecast Timeline

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 25, 2021

Closes:

Jan 20, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2040

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 25, 2021