Question

What will the state-of-the-art object detection performance on COCO be, on 2023-02-14 in box average precision (box AP) amongst all models?

Resolved:65.4

2 comments2

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction

62.8

(60.4 - 65.4)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>68
community	60.38	62.84	65.4	10.5%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	60.38	—
median	62.84	—
upper 75%	65.4	—
Upper bound
>68	10.5%	—

What was the final result?65.4

Community Baseline Score

-7.8

Community Peer Score

17.8

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Feb 14, 2021

Closes:

Apr 14, 2021

Resolves:

Feb 15, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 16, 2021

Forecasting AI Progress

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Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

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