Question

What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, on 2026-12-14 in accuracy, amongst models not trained on extra data?

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Total Forecasters38

Community Prediction

90.5%

(89.2% - 93.2%)

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	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>94%
community	89.17%	90.53%	93.25%	17.0%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	89.17%	—
median	90.53%	—
upper 75%	93.25%	—
Upper bound
>94%	17.0%	—

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Feb 14, 2021

Closed:

Apr 14, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 13, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 16, 2021

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