55 comments
91 forecasters
When will China officially cease to be a socialist state?
Current estimate
2094
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Feb 20, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2199
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 22, 2021
How many communist states will there be in 2050?
4.83 states
(2.88 - 7.46)
4.83 states
(2.88 - 7.46)
97 forecasters
When will The Economist rank China as a democracy in the Democracy Index?
2085
(Jun 2055 - >2100)
2085
(Jun 2055 - >2100)
41 forecasters
When will Iran cease to be an Islamic Republic?
Feb 2040
(29 Jun 2030 - Jul 2059)
Feb 2040
(29 Jun 2030 - Jul 2059)
109 forecasters