Question
When will the first successful launch of a Starship second stage that has been flown once before occur?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters36
Community Prediction
26 Aug 2021
(08 Jul 2021 - 26 Oct 2021)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 08 Jul 2021 | — |
| median | 26 Aug 2021 | — |
| upper 75% | 26 Oct 2021 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >29 Dec 2021 00:00 | 11.3% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
54.9
Community Peer Score
80.2
Authors:
Opened:Mar 13, 2021
Closes:May 2, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Mar 13, 2021
Closes:May 2, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2021