Question

What will the total retail sales including food services be for May 2021?

Resolved:Above upper bound

3 comments3

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction

>600k

(595k - >600k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	<500k	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>600k
community	0.5%	594.7k	>600k	>600k	57.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<500k	0.5%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	594.7k	—
median	>600k	—
upper 75%	>600k	—
Upper bound
>600k	57.3%	—

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score

81.2

Community Peer Score

15.9

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Mar 25, 2021

Closes:

Jun 6, 2021

Resolves:

Jun 15, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 27, 2021

Economy & Business

2021 Leaderboard

Retail Spending Falls For Second Month in a Row

Forbes•Jun 17, 2025

Retail Sales Fell in May But Core Sales Were Unexpectedly Strong

Breitbart•Jun 17, 2025

Retail sales in the US declined 0.9% month-over-month in May, following a downwardly revised 0.1% drop in April and worse than forecast of a 0.7% fall. It is the biggest decrease in four months, as consumers scaled back their purchases ahead of the e...

•Jun 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percent of US GDP will come from manufacturing in the first half of 2028?

On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025?

589

What will the total market cap of all cryptocurrencies be at the start of 2027? (In billion USD)

5490