22 comments
74 forecasters
When will credible sources reveal the existence of something similar to DALL-E but significantly bigger?
Current estimate
06 Jan 2025
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Authors:
Opened:May 27, 2021
Closes:Apr 28, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Apr 28, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 29, 2021
When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?
21 forecasters
How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?
929k B
(180k - 8.03M)
929k B
(180k - 8.03M)
51 forecasters
When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be downloadable by the general public?
11 forecasters