Question
How many pigs will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?
Resolved:231kTotal Forecasters51
Community Prediction
848k
(376k - 2.15M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <5000 | 1.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 376.4k | — |
| median | 848.4k | — |
| upper 75% | 2.147M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30M | 5.1% | — |
What was the final result?231k
Community Baseline Score
13.1
Community Peer Score
2.3
Authors:
Opened:Apr 22, 2021
Closes:Apr 22, 2022
Resolves:Mar 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 24, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Apr 22, 2021
Closes:Apr 22, 2022
Resolves:Mar 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 24, 2021
