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12 comments
34 forecasters

How many annual deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections will have been estimated by the CDC to occurred in 2021 in the US?

Latest estimate
39k
Authors:
Metaculus-PartnersAlyssaStevens
Opened:Apr 22, 2021
Closed:Oct 1, 2021
Scheduled resolution:Aug 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 24, 2021
Health & Pandemics
🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard
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Resistant Bacteria Are Advancing Faster Than Antibiotics
Wired•Oct 22, 2025
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WHO sounds the alarm on rising antibiotic resistance that is threatening health security
OpEdNews•Oct 18, 2025
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How many deaths in the US will be due to antibiotic-resistant infections in 2035?

76.8k deaths
(46.8k - 141k)
76.8k deaths
(46.8k - 141k)
27 forecasters

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

5% chance
197

Will antimicrobial drug sales for use in livestock production increase by at least 0.5% in 2024 relative to 2023?

58% chance
183
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