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12 comments
44 forecasters

In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 cases?

community
5.14
result
9
Authors:
Metaculus-Partnersjuancambeiro
Opened:Apr 29, 2021
Closes:Nov 13, 2021
Resolved:Apr 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2021
Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1
Health & Pandemics
🏆 2021 Leaderboard

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

44% chance
34

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV
04 Jan 2026
Flu
13 Jan 2026
COVID-19
03 Jan 2026
1 other
18 forecasters

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4% chance
32
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