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19 comments
46 forecasters

In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 hospitalizations?

community
5.11
result
9
Authors:
Metaculus-Partnersjuancambeiro
Opened:Apr 29, 2021
Closes:Nov 13, 2021
Resolved:Apr 6, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2021
Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1
Health & Pandemics
🏆 2021 Leaderboard

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

44% chance
34

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV
04 Jan 2026
Flu
13 Jan 2026
COVID-19
03 Jan 2026
1 other
18 forecasters

What will be the peak Covid-19 Hospitalization rate (new admissions per week per million) in the US in these years?

2023
129
2024
110.7
2025
104
45 forecasters
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