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10 comments
46 forecasters

In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases on 1 August 2021?

community
194
result
1245
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Metaculus-Partnersjuancambeiro
Opened:Apr 29, 2021
Closes:Jul 1, 2021
Resolved:Aug 10, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2021
Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1
Health & Pandemics
🏆 2021 Leaderboard

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

44% chance
34

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

115k deaths/year
(87.5k - 206k)
115k deaths/year
(87.5k - 206k)
88 forecasters

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV
3.48
Flu
9.78
COVID-19
4.09
1 other
17 forecasters
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