20 comments
57 forecasters
Will variants of concerns thought to partially escape immunity make up more than 50% of samples sequenced in Virginia on 29 August - 11 September 2021?
66%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 66% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 29, 2021
Closes:Jul 29, 2021
Resolved:Oct 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2021
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
44% chance
34
What proportions of influenza A subtype sequences will CDC report during the 2025-2026 season?
13 forecasters
What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2025-26 season through the end of April 2026?
80.7%
(73.2 - 88.6)
80.7%
(73.2 - 88.6)
15 forecasters