Question

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction
3706 people
(2197 people - 6486 people)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<2505.1%
Quartiles
lower 25%2197
median3706
upper 75%6486
Upper bound
>20k3.6%
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2021
Closes:Jun 30, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Apr 30, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 10, 2021