Question
What fraction of the world's population will live in a democracy in 2040?
Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction
52.5%
(42.4% - 62.2%)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 42.39% | — |
| median | 52.55% | — |
| upper 75% | 62.24% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 14, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 16, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jun 14, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 16, 2021