10 comments
29 forecasters
What fraction of the world's population will live in a democracy in 2040?
Current estimate
52.5%
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 14, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2041
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 16, 2021
How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years?
126 forecasters
Five years after AGI, how much democracy will there be?
13.2%
(8.49 - 27.2)
13.2%
(8.49 - 27.2)
36 forecasters
What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?
7.08
(6.26 - 7.68)
7.08
(6.26 - 7.68)
55 forecasters