Question

When will an AI be able to solve over 80% of competition-level coding problems on its first try?

Total Forecasters140
Community Prediction
05 Apr 2027
(21 Jul 2025 - 12 Nov 2029)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%21 Jul 2025
median05 Apr 2027
upper 75%12 Nov 2029
Upper bound
>20810.4%
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Opened:Jun 18, 2021
Closes:Jun 20, 2081
Scheduled resolution:Jun 20, 2081
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 20, 2021