Question
How many teragrams of black carbon will be injected into the upper troposphere as a result of the next nuclear conflict?
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction
12.8 Tg
(<0 Tg - 55 Tg)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0 Tg | 27.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <0 Tg | — |
| median | 12.84 Tg | — |
| upper 75% | 54.96 Tg | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >300 Tg | 13.2% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jun 25, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 27, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jun 25, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 27, 2021