Question
How many teragrams of black carbon will be injected into the upper troposphere as a result of the next nuclear conflict?
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction
8.31 Tg
(<0 Tg - 30.4 Tg)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0 Tg | 31.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <0 Tg | — |
| median | 8.31 Tg | — |
| upper 75% | 30.44 Tg | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >300 Tg | 0.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 25, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 27, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jun 25, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 27, 2021