42 comments
33 forecasters
What percentage of the Israeli population will be Haredi in 2050?
Current estimate
20.1%
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2055
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 24, 2021
How high will the Haredi share of Israel's population be at its peak?
27.7%
(21.1 - 38.3)
27.7%
(21.1 - 38.3)
18 forecasters
How many US Jews will move to Israel by 2050?
117k people
(91.9k - 140k)
117k people
(91.9k - 140k)
7 forecasters
Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
85% chance
91