Question

Will the US have more than 200,000 daily COVID-19 cases (7-day average) before January 1, 2022?

Resolved:Yes

28 comments28

Total Forecasters97

Community Prediction

55%

(49% - 65%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

19.5

Community Peer Score

5.8

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Jul 18, 2021

Closes:

Aug 31, 2021

Resolves:

Dec 25, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 19, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%

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How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k