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7 comments
25 forecasters

What percentage of new COVID-19 deaths that occur before 1 August 2022 will be in long-term care facilities?

community
11.7
result
12.9
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Metaculus-Partnersjuancambeiro
Opened:Aug 3, 2021
Closes:Nov 1, 2021
Resolved:Aug 31, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 5, 2021
Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2
Health & Pandemics
🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

44% chance
34

Will minimum staffing standards for Long-Term Care Facilities of 3.48 hours per resident per day be in effect before May 11, 2027?

2.7% chance
89

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

115k deaths/year
(87.1k - 205k)
115k deaths/year
(87.1k - 205k)
87 forecasters
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