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3 comments
27 forecasters

What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 October 2021?

community
3018
result
3677
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Metaculus-Partnersjuancambeiro
Opened:Aug 3, 2021
Closes:Aug 24, 2021
Resolved:Oct 5, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 5, 2021
Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

44% chance
34

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4% chance
32

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
55 forecasters
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